Saturday, April 27, 2013

D Wayne Lucas Horse

Just thought I would throw in a workout that caught my eye. This is from almost a week back, but the D Wayne Lucas traineer Will Take Charge worked out at Churchill Downs. I am still a newbie to figuring out horses, but this seemed to relish the run on the dry track.

Workout by "Will Take Charge"

You have to remember, this horse (Will Take Charge) was in a long drive and went past several horses and collared Oxbow (also a Lucas trainee) close to the wire, in the Rebel Stakes. (Click to see Race Video)

On Oxbow, I feel like this horse gets played up by the experts, but if you look at this performances, he has gotten to the lead and then relinquished it, in multiple races.

His lead shrunk from 3.5 lengths to just 1 1/2 in the LeComte (which he won).
He got up to the lead entering the stretch in the Risen Star Stakes, but 3 other horses managed to beat him to the wire.
He led in the Risen Star before losing to Will Take Charge.

Oxbow's connections even switched Jon Court off of him and put hall of fame jockey Mike Smith on him for the Rebel Stakes, but it did not help him win. Jon Court instead got some revenge? by winning the Rebel. I don't think Oxbow has what it takes to come out in the stretch and finish in the top 3 of the Derby, unless there is a super fast pace early on.

Here's his workout
Oxbow workout


Feel free to share your comments on what you think.


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